Coldest Weather of the Season… Followed by Rain?

The big story heading into the end of this week is the brutal and possibly record cold that will be here for Valentine’s Day weekend. It certainly will be the coldest we’ve seen in an otherwise mild winter for the 2015/16 season. Signs point toward this cold blast being transient though, so much so that a storm system arriving early next week could end up being a wet one. Continue reading

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Complicated Winter Weather Setup Emerging

A series of storm systems this week will usher in the return of a snowfall threat for southern New England. Significant Snow does not appear to be the most likely scenario for Connecticut, but only a small westward shift in the forecast track is needed for that to happen.

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Thursday’s Outlook: Temperature Swings and Storms

Relief continues for the snow wearied…

While I certainly can’t rule out the possibility of snow falling in small quantities, it’s definitely not the star of the forecast for Southern New England at any point during this period. In fact several days of above normal temperatures could continue much needed relief as mid atlantic states recover and continue to melt down their snowpacks. Continue reading

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Mild Weather Returns for The Start of February

I’ve been keeping track of the snowfall numbers in earnest this winter for my town. This is the first year I’ve really done that. With the warmer weather so far this week, a decent amount of melting has taken place. Since I dropped below 1″ in snow cover today, here are the updated snowfall numbers for the season. I’ve added a permanent spot on the blog so anyone can access these numbers on demand. Continue reading

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Blizzard Like Conditions Expected into at Least Parts of CT

Our storm is taking shape in the southeastern US today. Steady snow can already be seen pushing into northern Virginia and metro Washington DC.

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Sharp Snowfall cutoff on the Cusp of SNE

Finally beginning to find some clarity in the forecast for Southern New England, which has basically been sitting on the northern fence of the storm zone all week. Guidance is converging on a drier solution for much of our area. The dividing line between a substantial snow storm and a much lesser storm is setting up right around Coastal Connecticut. The question has always been how far north does the northward of extent of the blizzard get. It’s been one of the more troublesome parts of the forecast because of the factors: storm track, strength, and the influence of dry air from the high pressure system to the north. The gradient is extremely sharp and this storm is no exception. Continue reading

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Major Mid-Atlantic Blizzard in the Makings

Discussion: A strong Upper level trough approaches the east coast and cuts off in the southern mid atlantic. A coastal low in the southeast will undergo secondary redevelopment in the eastern Carolinas this weekend, rapidly intensify and track northeast.  Continue reading

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