Atlantic Tropical Update

As many in the Northeast continue to recover from Tropical Storm Irene, eyes have already turned to the next disturbance in the tropics. A tropical storm expected to soon become Hurricane Katia. One of the things that I have noticed in the next 14 day period is the less robust nature of the Bermuda High. It will retreat a bit and have less impressive pressure numbers. In addition, as I watch the pacific ocean, the timing seems to coincide with the arrival of a fairly strong troph in the east by labor day weekend. If this sets up, I expect these dynamics to be enough to favor a recurving of Katia out to sea. Having said that, my current forecast track puts Bermuda on high alert for potential trouble. As always the East coast should moniter the progress of this storm. In my map, I left out the intensity forecasts because I’m just not confident enough in them at this time. Warning of this storm’s potential impact is however, essential:

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