As off 11 am, temperatures across the state remain in the upper 50s and lower 60s, with winds generally between 3 and 7 mph out of the south east. As an axis of high pressure shifts east, Mid and high level clouds will continue to spread in from the south and west from a broad but weak area of low pressure near the South Carolina coast.
An associated upper level cut off low will begin to slide eastward across north Georgia as a broad western trough moves in over the rockies. The closed low, vertically stacked with the surface low, will gradually propagate towards eastern North Carolina through Tuesday afternoon.
A moist southeasterly flow ahead of the low center lifting over a warm front will cause a broad, but light area of rain to develop during the evening hours Monday and continue through the day on Tuesday. Low level jet energy arrives by Tuesday evening which will help fuel periods of heavier rain during the evening and overnight hours – Favoring southern and eastern Connecticut. The low level jet forcing will shift east of the region by Wednesday morning. Lingering low level moisture will cause light rain and drizzle to persist well after the steadiest precipitation shifts away from the area Wednesday morning.