Category: Uncategorized
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Cold Week Ahead, what about snow chances?
Discussion: A deep 500mb trough is in control over the Eastern third of the continental US. Further west, there’s some ridging over the pacific coast and another trough axis over the gulf of Alaska. At the surface, the area of low pressure responsible for our accumulating snow last night is…
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**UPDATED** Snow Map For Tonights Storm 1/21/2013
Winter Weather Continues to affect the area until after midnight tonight as a strengthening area of low pressure intensifies to our south and east. A norlun trough event (an inverted trough protruding from the actual low to the north and west) will significantly enhance snowfall across far eastern New…
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*UPDATED* The Week Ahead – Colder Weather Returns, but Does the Snow?
Discussion: A large upper level vortex over the Arctic moves south into east central Canada by the end of next week. A cold front comes through during the day on Monday, followed by a weak area of low pressure offshore on Wednesday. High pressure over the central US and Low…
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Mild Temperatures Into the Weekend
DISCUSSION: A Weak cold front pushed offshore Wednesday night and High Pressure in control over Southern New England today. To our east a vigorous shortwave trough and a coastal low are located over the Canadian maritimes. A large upper level ridge over the Eastern half of the country and a…
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Long Island 36 Hours Forecast
Rain starts us off. A Gradual changeover to snow is possible during the afternoon tapering off as flurries at night. A slushy 0.5″ accumulation is all I expect from it.
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Hurricane Sandy to Bring Connecticut Life Threatening Impacts
Here’s the latest track for the National Hurricane center. Hurricane Sandy is a massive storm with an immensely expansive tropical storm magnitude wind field. A New Jersey Landfall is almost certain at this point, my forecast is just south of Sandy Hook, the hurricane center takes it in around Atlantic…
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Tropical Cyclone Sandy Likely To Become Late Season Menace on the East Coast
All forecast eyes in the last several days have been on a developing tropical storm, now hurricane, currently churning near the island of Jamaica. Hurricane conditions are expected in Jamaica, eastern cuba, and tropical storm/hurricane conditions are possible for the Bahama’s and coastal Florida. From there on considerable uncertainty had…
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Winter Storm Prediction and the Drawbacks of Naming Them
The idea of naming winter storms is not a new debate. Many a crippling snowstorm and corridor halting blizzard have pounded the country in the past. Notable ones get names in their aftermath like the blizzard of ’88 (1888), The ’93 superstorm, the blizzard of 2010 (snowmaggedon), and countless others. It’s common…
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Heavy Rain On the Way
A classic setup for the region’s first major fall rainstorm is in the making. A highly amplified upper level pattern will emerge with a deep 500mb trough over the Midwest and a strengthening Atlantic ridge downstream. This will set the stage for an intensifying surface low to develop and track…
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First Taste of Fall is in the Air
A 500mb trough is anchored over the eastern US. A couple of shortwaves are rotating around this axis one over Wisconsin, the other over upstate New York. A deep surface low over eastern Canada is moving to the northeast while it’s trailing cold front, responsible for much of Saturday’s severe…
Meteorological Muses 